logo small

The Stock Market vs. Stocks in the Market

The collapse of First Republic Bank is a harsh reminder that any stock can go to zero, no matter how established a company is, or how loyal and wealthy its customers are. The failure of what many considered to be a rock-solid regional bank should serve as powerful evidence of the importance of diversification, what I consider to be one of the first principles of investing.

If your wealth is highly concentrated in any one individual stock, take this opportunity to learn an important lesson: While many people think they know more than other investors, none of us knows more than the market.

Many years before he became a Nobel laureate, my friend and mentor Merton Miller used to say, “Diversification is your buddy.” Diversification is the practice of spreading investments across a variety of assets. It’s a time-tested strategy to mitigate risk. Children learn about it early in life with the phrase “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket,” but all too often, grown-up investors forget.

CONTINUE READING

Print Email

Mind over Matter: Perspective for Investors on the US Debt Ceiling

If ongoing debate over the debt ceiling is giving you a dizzying sense of déjà vu, you are forgiven. The debt ceiling, or limit, reflects the amount of money the United States Congress has authorized the government to borrow, and Congress can authorize increases when the government nears or reaches the existing limit. According to the US Treasury Department, Congress has acted to effectively raise the debt ceiling 78 distinct times since 1960. Occasionally, policymakers have struggled to reach consensus to authorize increases.

The US effectively reached the debt limit in January, triggering “extraordinary measures” by the Treasury Department to allow continued servicing of existing debts and obligations. But Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has issued a warning that the “X-date,” when these extraordinary measures may be exhausted, could come as soon as June 1. As the X-date approaches without a political consensus to raise the debt limit, many investors are wondering how a breach of the debt ceiling could impact their investments.

CONTINUE READING

Print Email

investing

Then vs. Now

Investors could be forgiven for having flashbacks this week to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008. Phrases like “turmoil among banks” and “regulators intervening” have a way of doing that for many of us. But current market data shows no expectation of repeating the stock market upheaval experienced in 2008 – or even 2020 for that matter. The VIX index, a widely referenced measure of US stock market volatility, closed at a little over 19 on March 29. This magnitude falls short of the conventional threshold, around 30, for elevated volatility expectations and far below levels reached during the GFC or the COVID-fueled market downturn in 2020.

While Philadelphia Phillies fans may yearn for aspects of 2008 to return, financial markets do not appear at this time to be expecting a repeat of that year’s tumult.

CONTINUE READING

Print Email

investing

When Headlines Worry You, Bank on Investment Principles

On Friday, March 10, regulators took control of Silicon Valley Bank as a run on the bank unfolded. Two days later, regulators took control of a second lender, Signature Bank. With increasing anxiety, many investors are eyeing their portfolios for exposure to these and other regional banks.

Rather than rummaging through your portfolio looking for trouble when headlines make you anxious, turn instead to your investment plan. Hopefully, your plan is designed with your long-term goals in mind and is based on principles that you can stick with, given your personal risk tolerances. While every investor’s plan is a bit different, ignoring headlines and focusing on the following time-tested principles may help you avoid making shortsighted missteps.

CONTINUE READING

Print Email

investing

Two Steps Forward, One Step Back for Investors

 

Consider everything investors have been through in recent years: a global pandemic, rapid inflation, war in Europe, and volatile stock and bond markets. It’s reasonable to feel uneasy in the face of so much uncertainty.

Now imagine it’s the end of 2019 and you know what you know now. You’re asked to predict market returns over the next three years. Will stocks be up 25%? Flat? Down 25%?

The market was up almost 25% from 2020 through 2022. That includes last year’s 19% decline. Too often, people look only at year-by-year returns and don’t look at the total history of returns, which can be very informative.

CONTINUE READING

Print Email

investing

People Have Memories. Markets Don’t

One of the best things about markets is that they don’t have memories. They don’t remember what happened last week or last year. They don’t even remember what happened a minute ago. Prices change based on what’s happening right now and what people think will happen in the future.

People have memories. Markets don’t. And that’s a good thing.

So as you start 2023, take a lesson from the market. Don’t begin this new year bogged down by what happened last year. Give yourself the opportunity to start fresh.

CONTINUE READING

Print Email

More Articles ...

CONNECT WITH US ON SOCIAL MEDIA!