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Have Index Funds Buoyed US Large Caps?

Recently, we noted that the negative average size premium in the US over the past decade was mainly a reflection of the S&P 500 Index returning well above its long-run average. That’s led some people to wonder why the large cap index has fared so well. Many have laid this at the feet of index fund popularity, suggesting flows to these funds have imparted an upward bias to market prices and lifted US large cap stock indices. But if index fund flows are to blame, why aren’t we seeing the effect internationally?

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When the Crystal Ball is a Little Cloudy

This is a fun time of year. We have the holidays right around the corner. (I’m already on my fourth viewing of Christmas Vacation.) Football games are ratcheting up in intensity. And a new round of equity analysts’ forecasts for the stock market’s future arrives. If previous forecasts are any indicator, you might want to use these for entertainment only.

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Small Caps Have Done Better Than You Think

One of the most common questions I hear is, “What’s wrong with small caps?” This concern usually stems from relative returns over the past 10 years, during which US small caps underperformed the S&P 500 Index by a little over 4 percentage points. But which one of these asset classes has been behaving abnormally?

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Does Gold Hedge Economic Downturns?

Some investors may view gold as a risk-management asset. While returns for gold have been too volatile for it to serve as an effective safe haven or inflation hedge, some may see it as an asset to weather an economic downturn. But there’s not much evidence gold can fulfill this purpose.

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Three Common Investing Mistakes

Many people start out managing their own investments. But as their earnings and assets grow, their financial needs and challenges become more complex—and continuing to go it alone could prove costly in terms of investing miscues. Consider three common mistakes that can reduce returns and increase anxiety.

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